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2010年10月10日星期日

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Understanding NFL Point Spreads

You may have noticed earlier I said most spread numbers have shown no advantage. That is the same as saying that some numbers do give you an advantage. Your job is to know them, at least if you are looking to win using spreads.
Because the books have to cover both sides of every game, the small advantage the spreads give the player are offsetting for the books. But an advantage can be gained if you only bet the games where a point spread edge in your favor exists.
There are many point spread situations that Vikings jersey
can provide a mathematical advantage based on the spread number and game location, or can result in your betting at a disadvantage that could easily be avoided. Understanding that and betting them the right way is critical to your success using NFL point spreads.
Most people bet on NFL games using the point spread, but few really understand what the point spread is. Without a good understanding of the nature of spreads, why they are used and where they come from, you can not expect to win betting them.
Point spreads are generally thought to be an equalizer for betting on two teams of nfl throwback jerseys
different strength. And that is a purpose it serves well. It would be impossible to find a book willing to take a lot of bets if not for the spread adjustments.
The bigger purpose is that it is an attempt by the books to control the probabilities of the outcome of the bets. For that purpose it also works well for the books. They have to cover every bet on every game, and most spread numbers have shown no advantage at all.
They are not magic numbers created by some mystical formula known only to the books. And they are meaningless in relation to the outcome of the game. They start out as an educated guess and then are adjusted based on how the bets are going and the desires of Steelers jersey
the books.
If you learned that a home favorite of -7 won 54% of the time regardless of any other factor, betting every game fitting that situation could be done at a profit. You would also know that betting the other way has a win probability of 46% and could avoid that bad bet.


Related articles : Why You Lose Money Betting On NFL Point Spreads

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